The total number of new car registrations last
month, which will be released by the Society of Motor
Manufacturers and Traders (SMMT), is expected
to be as much as 25% down compared with the same month
last year.
The October fall follows a 21% fall in in
sales in September when even the start of the new 58
registration period plates failed to halt the downturn
in purchases.
August had seen what was described bt many industry
commentators as the largest monthly year-on-year
fall for around 40 years. It has to be said however,
that until 1999 the August figures had been vastly
inflated as it the only new number plate month before
a switch to a twice annually system in force at present
in which the plates change in both March and
September.
The figures released tomorrow will give a very clear
indication of just how badly the recession and uk credit
crunch is already hitting consumers.
In the early 1990s, following excellent sales in the
late 1980s, new car purchases fell for 27 successive months
this at a time when house prices were falling and consumer
confidence was low, which all goes to indicate that we are
in a very similar cycle.
It was the upturn from this trend in the mid 1990's
that showed the world that the "first green shoots" of
an economic recovery were beginning to show above the
surface.
New car sales had held up relatively well until fairly
recently, which would suggest that consumer
confidence has been severely dented, it is expected by many
that some of the year-on-year comparisons will reveal big
declines in the coming months.
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